Ottawa Real Estate Newsletter – December 2023
Canadian Real Estate Assocation (CREA) Statistics
You may have read, in YahooFinance the post “Canada home prices slide as homebuyers go into ‘hibernation’“.
It was based on statistics released by CREA November 15, 2023. Highlights include:
- National home sales fell 5.6% month-over-month in October.
- Actual (not seasonally adjusted) monthly activity came in 0.9% above October 2022.
- The number of newly listed properties declined 2.3% month-over-month.
- The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) decreased by 0.8% month-over-month but was still up 1.1% year-over-year.
- The actual (not seasonally adjusted) national average sale price posted a 1.8% year-over-year increase in October.
Ottawa Real Estate Newsletter – November 2023
Ottawa Real Estate News Release (OREB) – Ottawa MLS® October Home Sales Show Typical Lull
OTTAWA, November 7, 2023 – The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board totaled 816 units in October 2023. This was a small reduction of 2.7% from October 2022.
Home sales were 36.4% below the five-year average and 30.8% below the 10-year average for the month of October.
On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 10,700 units over the first 10 months of the year. This was a substantial decline of 12.3% from the same period in 2022.
“Life is expensive these days, which likely has both buyers and sellers staying put,” says Ken Dekker, OREB President. “We’re seeing a slow decline in sales activity but it’s minimal and not unexpected for this time of year. Prices are adjusting and coming down, which is also indicative of the types of homes that are selling — apartments seeing the largest increase in sales activity over last October. While Ottawa’s inventory is slowly building, chronic supply issues mean there’s always an undercurrent of demand. Don’t let the lull fool you: now is a prime time for buyers to be looking for opportunities before the current carries us from a balanced market into seller’s territory.”
By the Numbers – Prices:
The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.
- The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $638,600 in October 2023, nearly unchanged, up only 1.8% from October 2022.
- The benchmark price for single-family homes was $721,600, up 2.2% on a year-over-year basis in September.
- By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse was $501,100, nearly unchanged, up 1% compared to a year earlier.
- The average price of homes sold in October 2023 was $660,836, increasing 2.9% from October 2022. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $671,983, a decline of 5.9% from the first ten months of 2022.
- The dollar value of all home sales in October 2023 was $539.2 million, unchanged from the same month in 2022.
OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.
- The number of new listings saw an increase of 6.6% from October 2022. There were 1,895 new residential listings in October 2023. New listings were 2% above the five-year average and 5.4% above the 10-year average for the month of October.
- Active residential listings numbered 3,062 units on the market at the end of October, a sizable gain of 16.7% from the end of October 2022. Active listings haven’t been this high in the month of October in more than five years.
- Active listings were 43.8% above the five-year average and 10.9% below the 10-year average for the month of October.
- Months of inventory numbered 3.8 at the end of October 2023, just up from the 3.1 months recorded at the end of October 2022. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.
Delays in Housing Construction in Canada
The Canadian Real Estate Wealth blog of the The Canadian Real Estate Magazine reports that in our approval process for new homes Canada ranks 34 out of 35 within the Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). It takes 250 days to get a permit – 3 times longer than in the US.
Having seen how the official plan and the secondary plans are drafted. My experience has been to see the secondary plans drafted then every time a proposed construction is received an exception to the plan is reviewed. Seems the plans rarely anticipate what will really be proposed. Then of course consultation at many levels ensues and creates delays. Could it not be that the plan be more in keeping with what will likely be proposed.
Royal LePage trims year-end price forecast after sluggish third quarter
Royal LePage reports on third quarter real estate activity and adjusts its fourth quarter forecast.
Click here for newsrelease and regional details. CTV News also reports on specifics of the Ottawa market.
Ottawa Real Estate Newsletter – October 2023
Ottawa Real Estate Statistics – September 2023
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