The Royal LePage 2024 Winter Recreational Property Report provides an optimistic forecast for the recreational property market in Canada. Here are some key highlights:

1. Market Revival: The report predicts a 7.5% increase in ski chalet prices for 2025, driven by improving borrowing conditions and renewed buyer confidence. This comes after two years of limited activity due to high interest rates.


2. Current Trends: Despite the high interest rate environment, recreational property prices have remained relatively stable. The national median price for a single-family detached home in ski areas is expected to rise to $1,019,960 over the next 12 months.


3. Regional Variations: While some regions like Canmore have seen price increases, other areas in British Columbia experienced price drops. The report notes that Quebec’s recreational markets have shown solid price appreciation despite economic uncertainties.


4. Buyer Behavior: Recreational homebuyers often use equity from their primary residences or pay in cash, but they still watch interest rates closely as an indicator of the economy’s health. The report suggests that additional rate cuts by the Bank of Canada could boost buyer confidence and activity.


5. Longer Selling Times: The report highlights that properties are staying on the market longer, with 75% of Royal LePage’s recreational property specialists noting longer selling times.

Overall, the report is optimistic about the future of the recreational property market, expecting a rebound in activity and prices as borrowing conditions improve.

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The recent mortgage rate drop by the Bank of Canada has sparked significant interest and activity in the Ottawa condo market. As a REALTOR® specializing in condominiums, it’s essential to understand these shifts and what they mean for both buyers and sellers.

Increased Buyer Interest:

Following the rate cut, there’s been a notable uptick in buying interest, particularly among first-time homebuyers and investors. Lower borrowing costs have made mortgages more accessible, encouraging more people to explore condo ownership.

Price Adjustments:

The average selling price of a condo in Ottawa was $414,200 in September 2024, marking a slight decrease of 0.6% compared to the previous month. While prices have decreased by 1.3% year-over-year, the recent rate drop has the potential to stabilize prices and even drive them upwards as demand increases.

Market Dynamics:

The condo market is showing signs of increased activity, but it’s still early days. Some buyers remain cautious, waiting to see if prices will stabilize further. However, the general trend indicates a more dynamic market with potential for growth.

Dwindling Inventory:

One of the challenges in the Ottawa condo market is the dwindling inventory. As more buyers enter the market, the competition for available units intensifies. This could lead to quicker sales and potentially higher prices for well-located and well-maintained condos.

Opportunities for Sellers:

For condo owners looking to sell, now might be an opportune time. The increased buyer interest and lower mortgage rates create a favorable environment for sellers to list their properties and potentially achieve better prices.

Tips for Buyers:

• Act Quickly: With increasing competition, it’s crucial to act quickly when you find a condo that meets your needs.


• Get Pre-Approved: Ensure you’re pre-approved for a mortgage to streamline the buying process and strengthen your position when making offers.


• Work with a REALTOR®: A knowledgeable REALTOR® can help you navigate the competitive market and find the best deals.

Conclusion:

The recent mortgage rate drop has brought renewed energy to the Ottawa condo market. As a REALTOR® focused on this sector, staying informed and prepared can help you seize the opportunities this dynamic market presents.

Canadian Home Sales Edge Up Again Following Third Interest Rate Cut

The Canadian Real Estate Association’s (CREA) October 15, 2024, Monthly Housing Market Report presents an interesting snapshot of a market responding to recent economic shifts, particularly the Bank of Canada’s series of interest rate cuts. With the most recent of these rate reductions in September, Canadian home sales continued to rise, gaining 1.9% month-over-month, marking the third consecutive increase following rate cuts. Although these gains may not be dramatic, they point to a consistent pattern in recent months that could indicate a stable upward trend, albeit slower than some may expect. This trend reflects the potential for an active housing market next year, as many buyers may hold off for anticipated further cuts in early 2025.

Market Dynamics and Regional Highlights

Regionally, the Greater Toronto Area and Hamilton-Burlington, Montreal, Quebec City, and the West Coast (Vancouver and Victoria) were leaders in sales growth. This regional distribution underlines the diversity in Canada’s housing market, where economic resilience, demand, and inventory availability vary. For example, while Ontario cities lead the charge, regions like Quebec City also see momentum, reflecting local factors that draw buyers despite broader economic trends.

Inventory and Supply

New listings saw a significant 4.9% increase month-over-month in September, leading to the availability of 185,427 active listings, a year-over-year jump of 16.8% yet still below Canada’s historic average of 200,000 listings. This increase in inventory could signal a balanced market, especially with a sales-to-new-listings ratio easing to 51.3%, close to the balanced range of 45-65%. Buyers may find more choices than in previous months, as sellers are motivated to list before the traditionally slower winter months.

Prices: Steady but Uneven

Price stability is a central theme in CREA’s report, with the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) ticking up just 0.1% from August to September, though it remains 3.3% below levels from the previous year. The report notes a minor year-over-year gain in the national average sale price, up 2.1%. Nationally, housing prices have shown a flat trajectory through 2024 despite minor month-to-month adjustments, indicating that sellers are likely holding steady in their price expectations in response to demand from rate-driven buyers. This relatively flat pricing may appeal to prospective buyers aiming to enter the market before any dramatic economic shifts.

Outlook and Considerations for Buyers and Sellers

The fall and winter months could bring interesting dynamics to the market, especially with possible further rate cuts on the horizon. CREA notes that these reductions could positively impact the 2025 market, as buyers who may delay their purchase now could drive demand early next year. As James Mabey, CREA’s Chair, emphasizes, fall is an ideal time for buyers to engage with a REALTOR® and strategize, given the diverse economic signals at play and the increase in inventory.

This CREA report provides a positive outlook for the Canadian real estate market, with favorable conditions for both buyers and sellers. The increased supply and manageable prices create an environment for potential long-term growth.