Ottawa, ON – December 16, 2024Home sales activity across Canadian MLS® Systems continued their upward trajectory in November, further building on October’s unexpected surge. Sales climbed 2.8% month-over-month, marking an impressive 18.4% cumulative increase since May 2024, just before the Bank of Canada implemented its first interest rate cut in early June.
The November growth was primarily driven by Greater Vancouver, Calgary, Greater Toronto, and Montreal, alongside notable double-digit gains in smaller cities across Alberta and Ontario.
“Not only were sales up again, but with market conditions now starting to tighten up, November also saw prices move materially higher at the national level for the first time in almost a year and a half,” said Shaun Cathcart, CREA’s Senior Economist.
Key Market Indicators:
- MLS® Home Price Index (HPI):
- Increased 0.6% month-over-month – the largest monthly gain since July 2023.
- Year-over-year, the HPI remains down 1.2%.
- National Sales Activity:
- Rose 2.8% month-over-month.
- Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity surged 26% compared to November 2023.
- New Listings:
- Edged down slightly by 0.5% month-over-month.
- Average Sale Price:
- Up 7.4% year-over-year, reflecting the growing demand and tightening supply.
Market Outlook: Active Winter Ahead?
“Normally we might expect this market rebound to take a pause before resuming in the spring; however, the Bank of Canada’s latest 50-basis point rate cut combined with loosening mortgage qualification rules could spark a more active winter market than usual,” Cathcart added.
James Mabey, CREA Chair, highlighted the importance of professional guidance in today’s dynamic market: “If you’re looking to buy or sell a property in the coming months, the first step is always to contact a REALTOR® in your area.”
What This Means for Ottawa Buyers and Sellers
The national rebound is already evident in key markets like Toronto and Vancouver, but smaller cities are also benefitting from lower borrowing costs and improved affordability.
For buyers and sellers in Ottawa, the early signs of market momentum may translate into a busier winter. If you’re considering making a move, staying ahead of shifting conditions will be key.
Connect with me today to navigate Ottawa’s evolving real estate market with confidence.